2014 AMC 8 Problems/Problem 18

Revision as of 14:01, 28 November 2014 by Nosaj (talk | contribs) (Solution)

Problem

Four children were born at City Hospital yesterday. Assume each child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. Which of the following outcomes is most likely

$\textbf{(A) }$ all $4$ are boys $\qquad\textbf{(B) }$ all $4$ are girls $\qquad\textbf{(C) }$ $2$ are girls and $2$ are boys $\qquad\textbf{(D) }$ $3$ are of one gender and $1$ is of the other gender $\qquad\textbf{(E) }$ all of these outcomes are equally likely

Solution

We'll just start by breaking cases down. The probability of A occurring is $\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4 = \frac{1}{16}$. The probability of B occurring is $\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4 = \frac{1}{16}$.

The probability of C occurring is $\frac{4!}{2!2!}\cdot \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4 = \frac{3}{8}$. Lastly, the probability of D occurring is $2\cdot \frac{4!}{3!}\cdot\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4 = \frac{1}{2}$.

So out of the four fractions, D is the largest. So our answer is $\boxed{\text{(D) 3 of one gender and 1 of the other}}.$

See Also

2014 AMC 8 (ProblemsAnswer KeyResources)
Preceded by
Problem 17
Followed by
Problem 19
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All AJHSME/AMC 8 Problems and Solutions

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