Difference between revisions of "2019 AIME II Problems/Problem 2"

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Lily pads <math>1,2,3,\ldots</math> lie in a row on a pond. A frog makes a sequence of jumps starting on pad <math>1</math>. From any pad <math>k</math> the frog jumps to either pad <math>k+1</math> or pad <math>k+2</math> chosen randomly with probability <math>\tfrac12</math> and independently of other jumps. The probability that the frog visits pad <math>7</math> is <math>\tfrac pq</math>, where <math>p</math> and <math>q</math> are relatively prime positive integers. Find <math>p+q</math>.

Revision as of 15:52, 22 March 2019

Lily pads $1,2,3,\ldots$ lie in a row on a pond. A frog makes a sequence of jumps starting on pad $1$. From any pad $k$ the frog jumps to either pad $k+1$ or pad $k+2$ chosen randomly with probability $\tfrac12$ and independently of other jumps. The probability that the frog visits pad $7$ is $\tfrac pq$, where $p$ and $q$ are relatively prime positive integers. Find $p+q$.