2023 AMC 10B Problems/Problem 19
froggo
Solution 1
WLOG, we assume Sonya jumps units every time, since that is her expected value.
If Sonya is within blocks of an edge, she can jump off the board. Let us examine the region that is at most blocks from exactly one edge.
If Sonya starts in this region, she has a chance of landing outside (there's exactly one direction she can hop to get out). The total area of this region is For this region, Sonya has a chance, so we multiply by to get
If Sonya is in one of the corner squares, she can go two directions to get out, so she has a chance to get out. The total area is , so this region yields
Adding the two, we get . This is out of square units of area, so our answer is thus
~Technodoggo