Difference between revisions of "2017 AMC 12A Problems/Problem 22"
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Starting at an inside edge, there is a <math>\frac{2}{8}</math> chance of moving to another inside edge, a <math>\frac{2}{8}</math> chance of moving to an inside corner, a <math>\frac{1}{8}</math> chance of moving into the middle, and a <math>\frac{3}{8}</math> chance of reaching an outside edge and stopping. Therefore, | Starting at an inside edge, there is a <math>\frac{2}{8}</math> chance of moving to another inside edge, a <math>\frac{2}{8}</math> chance of moving to an inside corner, a <math>\frac{1}{8}</math> chance of moving into the middle, and a <math>\frac{3}{8}</math> chance of reaching an outside edge and stopping. Therefore, | ||
− | <cmath>e = \frac{1}{4}e + \frac{1}{4}c + \frac{1}{8}m + \frac{3}{8} | + | <cmath>e = \frac{1}{4}e + \frac{1}{4}c + \frac{1}{8}m + \frac{3}{8}\cdot 0 = \frac{1}{4}e + \frac{1}{4}c + \frac{1}{8}m.</cmath> |
Starting at an inside corner, there is a <math>\frac{2}{8}</math> chance of moving to an inside edge, a <math>\frac{1}{8}</math> chance of moving into the middle, a <math>\frac{4}{8}</math> chance of moving to an outside edge and stopping, and finally a <math>\frac{1}{8}</math> chance of reaching that elusive outside corner. This gives | Starting at an inside corner, there is a <math>\frac{2}{8}</math> chance of moving to an inside edge, a <math>\frac{1}{8}</math> chance of moving into the middle, a <math>\frac{4}{8}</math> chance of moving to an outside edge and stopping, and finally a <math>\frac{1}{8}</math> chance of reaching that elusive outside corner. This gives | ||
− | <cmath>c = \frac{1}{4}e + \frac{1}{8}m + \frac{1}{2}0 + \frac{1}{8} | + | <cmath>c = \frac{1}{4}e + \frac{1}{8}m + \frac{1}{2}0 + \frac{1}{8}\cdot 1 = \frac{1}{4}e + \frac{1}{8}m + \frac{1}{8}.</cmath> |
Solving this system of equations gives | Solving this system of equations gives | ||
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<cmath>4 + 35 = \boxed{\textbf{(E) }39}.</cmath> | <cmath>4 + 35 = \boxed{\textbf{(E) }39}.</cmath> | ||
− | ==Video | + | |
+ | ==Remark (Markov Chain)== | ||
+ | |||
+ | [[File:2017AMC12AP22.png|center|450px]] | ||
+ | |||
+ | This problem can be modeled as an [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Absorbing_Markov_chain Absorbing Markov Chain]. | ||
+ | |||
+ | [https://artofproblemsolving.com/wiki/index.php/2014_AMC_12B_Problems/Problem_22 2014 AMC12B Problem 22] is a similar problem that can be solved by using an Absorbing Markov Chain. | ||
+ | |||
+ | ~[https://artofproblemsolving.com/wiki/index.php/User:Isabelchen isabelchen] | ||
+ | |||
+ | ==Video Solutions== | ||
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz-Ma_O2bT4 | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz-Ma_O2bT4 | ||
+ | |||
+ | Solution by Richard Rusczyk - | ||
+ | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ixDXFRffUZ4&list=PLyhPcpM8aMvLZmuDnM-0vrFniLpo7Orbp&index=2 | ||
+ | - AMBRIGGS | ||
==See Also== | ==See Also== | ||
{{AMC12 box|year=2017|ab=A|num-b=21|num-a=23}} | {{AMC12 box|year=2017|ab=A|num-b=21|num-a=23}} | ||
+ | [[Category: Intermediate Combinatorics Problems]] | ||
{{MAA Notice}} | {{MAA Notice}} |
Latest revision as of 16:19, 17 May 2024
Problem
A square is drawn in the Cartesian coordinate plane with vertices at ,
,
,
. A particle starts at
. Every second it moves with equal probability to one of the eight lattice points (points with integer coordinates) closest to its current position, independently of its previous moves. In other words, the probability is
that the particle will move from
to each of
,
,
,
,
,
,
, or
. The particle will eventually hit the square for the first time, either at one of the 4 corners of the square or at one of the 12 lattice points in the interior of one of the sides of the square. The probability that it will hit at a corner rather than at an interior point of a side is
, where
and
are relatively prime positive integers. What is
?
Solution
We let and
be the probability of reaching a corner before an edge when starting at an "inside corner" (e.g.
), an "inside edge" (e.g.
), and the middle respectively.
Starting in the middle, there is a chance of moving to an inside edge and a
chance of moving to an inside corner, so
Starting at an inside edge, there is a chance of moving to another inside edge, a
chance of moving to an inside corner, a
chance of moving into the middle, and a
chance of reaching an outside edge and stopping. Therefore,
Starting at an inside corner, there is a chance of moving to an inside edge, a
chance of moving into the middle, a
chance of moving to an outside edge and stopping, and finally a
chance of reaching that elusive outside corner. This gives
Solving this system of equations gives
Since the particle starts at it is
we are looking for, so the final answer is
Remark (Markov Chain)
This problem can be modeled as an Absorbing Markov Chain.
2014 AMC12B Problem 22 is a similar problem that can be solved by using an Absorbing Markov Chain.
Video Solutions
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz-Ma_O2bT4
Solution by Richard Rusczyk - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ixDXFRffUZ4&list=PLyhPcpM8aMvLZmuDnM-0vrFniLpo7Orbp&index=2 - AMBRIGGS
See Also
2017 AMC 12A (Problems • Answer Key • Resources) | |
Preceded by Problem 21 |
Followed by Problem 23 |
1 • 2 • 3 • 4 • 5 • 6 • 7 • 8 • 9 • 10 • 11 • 12 • 13 • 14 • 15 • 16 • 17 • 18 • 19 • 20 • 21 • 22 • 23 • 24 • 25 | |
All AMC 12 Problems and Solutions |
The problems on this page are copyrighted by the Mathematical Association of America's American Mathematics Competitions.