2014 AMC 8 Problems/Problem 18

Revision as of 13:09, 28 November 2014 by Nosaj (talk | contribs) (Solution)

Problem

Four children were born at City Hospital yesterday. Assume each child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. Which of the following outcomes is most likely

$\textbf{(A) }\text{all 4 are boys}\\ \textbf{(B) }\text{all 4 are girls}\\ \textbf{(C) }\text{2 are girls and 2 are boys}\\ \textbf{(D) }\text{3 are of one gender and 1 is of the other gender}\\ \textbf{(E) }\text{all of these outcomes are equally likely}$

Solution

We'll just start by breaking cases down. The probability of A occurring is $\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4 = \frac{1}{16}$. The probability of B occurring is $\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4 = \frac{1}{16}$.

The probability of C occurring is $\dbinom{4}{2}\cdot \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4 = \frac{3}{8}$, because we need to choose 2 of the 4 children to be girls. Lastly, the probability of D occurring is $2\cdot \frac{4!}{3!}\cdot\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4 = \frac{1}{2}$.

So out of the four fractions, D is the largest. So our answer is $\boxed{\text{(D) 3 of one gender and 1 of the other}}.$

See Also

2014 AMC 8 (ProblemsAnswer KeyResources)
Preceded by
Problem 17
Followed by
Problem 19
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All AJHSME/AMC 8 Problems and Solutions

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