2024 AMC 10A Problems/Problem 21

Problem

A fair six-sided die is repeatedly rolled until the same number is rolled twice in a row. What is the probability that the last number rolled is equal to the first number rolled?

$\textbf{(A)}~\frac{17}{72} \qquad\textbf{(B)}~\frac{4}{15} \qquad\textbf{(C)}~\frac{5}{18} \qquad\textbf{(D)}~\frac{2}{7} \qquad\textbf{(E)}~\frac{3}{10}$

Solution

Let the answer to the problem be $x$. WLOG, assume the first number rolled is a $1$. Then, by symmetry, the probability that the last number rolled is $2$ equals $\tfrac{1-x}{5}$. Consider the following three cases:

  • If the second number rolled is a $1$, there is now a probability of $0$ that the last number rolled is $2$.
  • If the second number rolled is a $2$, there is now a probability of $x$ that the last number rolled is also $2$.
  • If the second number rolled is a $3$, $4$, $5$ or $6$, then by symmetry there is now a probability of $\tfrac{1-x}{5}$ that the last number rolled is $2$.

Thus \[\frac{1}{6} \cdot 0 + \frac{1}{6} \cdot x + \frac{4}{6} \cdot \frac{1-x}{5} = \frac{1-x}{5} \implies x = \boxed{\textbf{(D)}~\tfrac{2}{7}}.\]

~ihatemath123

See also

2024 AMC 10A (ProblemsAnswer KeyResources)
Preceded by
Problem 20
Followed by
Problem 22
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