Difference between revisions of "2019 AIME I Problems/Problem 5"

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==Solution==
 
==Solution==
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We label a move from <math>(a,b)</math> to <math>(a,b-1)</math> as down (<math>D</math>), from <math>(a,b)</math> to <math>(a-1,b)</math> as left (<math>L</math>), and from <math>(a,b)</math> to <math>(a-1,b-1)</math> as slant (<math>S</math>). To arrive at <math>(0,0)</math> without arriving at an axis first, the particle must first go to <math>(1,1)</math> then do a slant move. The particle can arrive can be done through any permutation of the following 4 different cases: <math>SSS</math>, <math>SSDL</math>, <math>SDLDL</math>, and <math>DLDLDL</math>.
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There is only <math>1</math> permutation of <math>SSS</math>. Including the last move, there are <math>4</math> possible moves, making the probability of this move <math>\frac{1}{3^4}</math>.
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There are <math>\frac{4!}{2!} = 12</math> permutations of <math>SSDL</math>, as the ordering of the two slants do not matter. There are <math>5</math> possible moves, making the probability of this move <math>\frac{12}{3^5}</math>.
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There are <math>\frac{5!}{2! \cdot 2!} = 30</math> permutations of <math>SDLDL</math>, as the ordering of the pairs of  do not matter. There are <math>6</math> possible moves, making the probability of this move <math>\frac{30}{3^6}</math>.
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There are <math>\frac{6!}{3! \cdot 3!} = 30</math> permutations of <math>DLDLDL</math>, as the ordering of the two slants do not matter. There are <math>7</math> possible moves, making the probability of this move <math>\frac{20}{3^7}</math>.
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Adding these, we get the total probability as <math>\frac{1}{3^4} + \frac{12}{3^5} + \frac{30}{3^6} + \frac{20}{3^7} = \frac{245}{3^7}</math>. Therefore, the answer is <math>245 + 7 = 342</math>.
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==See Also==
 
==See Also==
 
{{AIME box|year=2019|n=I|num-b=4|num-a=6}}
 
{{AIME box|year=2019|n=I|num-b=4|num-a=6}}
 
{{MAA Notice}}
 
{{MAA Notice}}
 
IMO 1999
 
IMO 1999

Revision as of 22:31, 14 March 2019

Problem 5

A moving particle starts at the point $(4,4)$ and moves until it hits one of the coordinate axes for the first time. When the particle is at the point $(a,b)$, it moves at random to one of the points $(a-1,b)$, $(a,b-1)$, or $(a-1,b-1)$, each with probability $\frac{1}{3}$, independently of its previous moves. The probability that it will hit the coordinate axes at $(0,0)$ is $\frac{m}{3^n}$, where $m$ and $n$ are positive integers. Find $m + n$.

Solution

We label a move from $(a,b)$ to $(a,b-1)$ as down ($D$), from $(a,b)$ to $(a-1,b)$ as left ($L$), and from $(a,b)$ to $(a-1,b-1)$ as slant ($S$). To arrive at $(0,0)$ without arriving at an axis first, the particle must first go to $(1,1)$ then do a slant move. The particle can arrive can be done through any permutation of the following 4 different cases: $SSS$, $SSDL$, $SDLDL$, and $DLDLDL$.

There is only $1$ permutation of $SSS$. Including the last move, there are $4$ possible moves, making the probability of this move $\frac{1}{3^4}$.

There are $\frac{4!}{2!} = 12$ permutations of $SSDL$, as the ordering of the two slants do not matter. There are $5$ possible moves, making the probability of this move $\frac{12}{3^5}$.

There are $\frac{5!}{2! \cdot 2!} = 30$ permutations of $SDLDL$, as the ordering of the pairs of do not matter. There are $6$ possible moves, making the probability of this move $\frac{30}{3^6}$.

There are $\frac{6!}{3! \cdot 3!} = 30$ permutations of $DLDLDL$, as the ordering of the two slants do not matter. There are $7$ possible moves, making the probability of this move $\frac{20}{3^7}$.

Adding these, we get the total probability as $\frac{1}{3^4} + \frac{12}{3^5} + \frac{30}{3^6} + \frac{20}{3^7} = \frac{245}{3^7}$. Therefore, the answer is $245 + 7 = 342$.

See Also

2019 AIME I (ProblemsAnswer KeyResources)
Preceded by
Problem 4
Followed by
Problem 6
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All AIME Problems and Solutions

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IMO 1999