2021 Fall AMC 12A Problems/Problem 18

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The following problem is from both the 2021 Fall AMC 10A #21 and 2021 Fall AMC 12A #18, so both problems redirect to this page.

Problem

Each of the $20$ balls is tossed independently and at random into one of the $5$ bins. Let $p$ be the probability that some bin ends up with $3$ balls, another with $5$ balls, and the other three with $4$ balls each. Let $q$ be the probability that every bin ends up with $4$ balls. What is $\frac{p}{q}$?

$\textbf{(A)}\ 1 \qquad\textbf{(B)}\  4 \qquad\textbf{(C)}\  8 \qquad\textbf{(D)}\  12 \qquad\textbf{(E)}\ 16$

Solution 1 (Multinomial Coefficients)

For simplicity purposes, we assume that the balls are indistinguishable and the bins are distinguishable.

Let $d$ be the number of ways to distribute $20$ balls into $5$ bins. We have \[p=\frac{5\cdot4\cdot\binom{20}{3,5,4,4,4}}{d} \text{ and } q=\frac{\binom{20}{4,4,4,4,4}}{d}.\] Therefore, the answer is \[\frac pq=\frac{5\cdot4\cdot\binom{20}{3,5,4,4,4}}{\binom{20}{4,4,4,4,4}}=\frac{5\cdot4\cdot\frac{20!}{3!5!4!4!4!}}{\frac{20!}{4!4!4!4!4!}}=\frac{5\cdot4\cdot(4!4!4!4!4!)}{3!5!4!4!4!}=\frac{5\cdot4\cdot4}{5}=\boxed{\textbf{(E)}\ 16}.\]

Remark

By the stars and bars argument, we get $d=\binom{20+5-1}{5-1}=\binom{24}{4}.$

~MRENTHUSIASM

Solution 2 (Simple)

Since both of the boxes will have $3$ boxes with $4$ balls in them, we can leave those out. There are $\binom {6}{3}$ = $20$ ways to choose where to place the $3$ and the $5$. After that, there are $\binom {8}{3} = 56$ ways to put the $3$ and $5$ balls being put into the boxes. For the $4,4,4,4,4$ case, after we canceled the $4,4,4$ out, we have $\binom {8}{4}$ = $70$ ways to put the $4$ balls inside the boxes. Therefore, we have $\frac {56\cdot 20}{70}$ which is equal to $8 \cdot 2$ = $\boxed {(E)16}$

~Arcticturn

Solution 3 (30-second set-theoretic solution)

Construct the set $A$ consisting of all possible $3-5-4-4-4$ bin configurations, and construct set $B$ consisting of all possible $4-4-4-4-4$ configurations. If we let $N$ be the total number of configurations possible, it's clear we want to solve for $\frac{p}{q} = \frac{\frac{|A|}{N}}{\frac{|B|}{N}} = \frac{|A|}{|B|}$.

Consider drawing an edge between an element in $A$ and an element in $B$ if it is possible to reach one configuration from the other by moving a single ball (note this process is reversible). Let us consider the total number of edges drawn.

From any element in $A$, we may take one of the $5$ balls in the 5-bin and move it to the 3-bin to get a valid element in $B$. This implies the number of edges is $5|A|$.

On the other hand for any element in $B$, we may choose one of the $20$ balls and move it to one of the other $4$ bins to get a valid element in $A$. This implies the number of edges is $80|B|$.

Since they must be equal, then $5|A| = 80|B| \rightarrow \frac{|A|}{|B|} = \frac{80}{5} = \boxed {(E)16}$

Video Solution by Mathematical Dexterity

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lu6eSvY6RHE

Video Solution by Punxsutawney Phil

https://YouTube.com/watch?v=bvd2VjMxiZ4

See Also

2021 Fall AMC 12A (ProblemsAnswer KeyResources)
Preceded by
Problem 17
Followed by
Problem 19
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
All AMC 12 Problems and Solutions
2021 Fall AMC 10A (ProblemsAnswer KeyResources)
Preceded by
Problem 20
Followed by
Problem 22
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
All AMC 10 Problems and Solutions

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