Y by
Given a kernel function (typically even, unimodal and nonnegative),
how can I find it's "square root",
that is a function so that
?
This is pretty easy when
is a normal distribution (you just halve the variance to find
since the sum of two normal RVs is another normal RV), but what about when
is slightly different from a normal distribution (e.g. logistic or cosine)?
Logistic is applicable for Elo ratings, where we know the link function (
)based on the difference in rating but want to find the kernel for the corresponding "TrueSkill" (range of performances) -
around the 2:00 mark here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AsYfbmp0To0&pp=ygUFIzJlbG8%3D
I know a normal gives a pretty good approximation, but I want the exact function.
I think there's a way to get an explicit form of the answer by taking the fourier transform into the frequency domain and square rooting and then translating back, but it's so complicated, I just want to see the graph plotted and how it differs from normal, I don't care about the explicit formula if it's not intuitive.
I'm more interested in the case of the "square root" of cosine from
to
.
Here's a relaxed set of constraints for the problem that I truly care about the most:
Find a kernel function,
, that meets the following criteria (similar to
)
- define the cdf:
-
- trivial when
is even
-
-
-
- this can be achieved by limiting the support of
to 
The constraints for
and
just means that
for
and that
and
(normalization).
So we just have 2 "difficult constraints" for
and 
This can easily be satisfied by creating a set of functions with 2 degrees of freedom and then fitting the two constraints.
Additional criteria:
- I want
to be unimodal at 
- Ideally
should be continuous
- Ideally
is differentiable on 
--
Maybe this is related: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infinite_divisibility_(probability)
I tried asking the latest ChatGPT models which are near-perfect on AIME (o3 and o4-mini) and the answers are so subpar, so I'm back on AoPS.



This is pretty easy when



Logistic is applicable for Elo ratings, where we know the link function (

around the 2:00 mark here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AsYfbmp0To0&pp=ygUFIzJlbG8%3D
I know a normal gives a pretty good approximation, but I want the exact function.
I think there's a way to get an explicit form of the answer by taking the fourier transform into the frequency domain and square rooting and then translating back, but it's so complicated, I just want to see the graph plotted and how it differs from normal, I don't care about the explicit formula if it's not intuitive.
I'm more interested in the case of the "square root" of cosine from


Here's a relaxed set of constraints for the problem that I truly care about the most:
Find a kernel function,


- define the cdf:

-


-

-

-



The constraints for






So we just have 2 "difficult constraints" for


This can easily be satisfied by creating a set of functions with 2 degrees of freedom and then fitting the two constraints.
Additional criteria:
- I want


- Ideally

- Ideally


--
Maybe this is related: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infinite_divisibility_(probability)
I tried asking the latest ChatGPT models which are near-perfect on AIME (o3 and o4-mini) and the answers are so subpar, so I'm back on AoPS.